Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Betting Pick – September 20, 2024
At 8:10 PM ET, the Angels and Astros will square off in an AL West matchup. This one is taking place at Minute Maid Park in Houston and has the Astros as heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -251. The Angels are +210 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Justin Verlander will be starting for the Astros, while the Angels are going with Tyler Anderson. Los Angeles comes in with a record of 62-91, which has them in 5th place in the AL West. The Astros are leading the division with an overall record of 83-70.
Struggling Angels Hope to Break Underdog Streak with Anderson on the Mound Against Astros
Los Angeles has gone 54-75 as the underdog this season and are just 32-46 at home. They are 30-45 on the road. The Angels have lost six straight as the underdog and are 13-32-3 in series this season. Their over/under record for the year is 72-75, and they have played in 71.2% of their games with an over/under line set at 8 runs or higher. Their games have had a combined average of 8.7 runs per game.
Left-hander Tyler Anderson is 10-13 with a 3.60 ERA this season. He has a WHIP of 1.25 and is facing an Astros lineup that has the over/under line set at 8 runs for today’s game. Anderson has allowed at least two homers in three straight starts. Los Angeles is 38-40 against the run line at home and 38-37 on the road. They are 6-18 as the favorite and 70-59 as the underdog. The Angels are 76-77 overall against the run line.
Astros Dominate AL West: Verlander Takes the Mound as Houston Eyes Sixth Straight Win
The Astros are 83-70 overall this season, which has them leading the AL West by five games over the Mariners. Houston is 26-20 in divisional games this season. They have won five straight games as the favorite, and they are 64-49 as the favorite overall. As for their time as the underdog, the Astros are 19-21 this year. The Astros are 43-32 at home and 40-38 on the road. Their overall series record is 26-20-2. Houston is 6-4 over their last 10 games.
Justin Verlander gets the start for the Astros today, and he is 4-6 with a 5.20 ERA. Verlander has five quality starts this season and is averaging 7.34 strikeouts per nine innings. The Astros are 79-74 vs. the run line this season and 53-60 when favored. Their average run margin in wins is +3.7, while it’s -3.1 in losses. Houston’s over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 13-14-2, and they have gone over the total in 61 of their 148 games. The under has hit in each of their last four games. Houston is 3rd in batting average and 7th in runs per game at home, but just 17th in road games. Their top hitters are Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve.
Astros vs. Angels: Betting on the Over with Verlander and Anderson Set to Struggle
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Astros, which would give the Angels the win. However, with the Astros’ money line sitting at -251, we will be staying away from that and instead recommending the over, as the line is sitting at eight runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Justin Verlander is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is fourth-best among all starters today. As for Tyler Anderson, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is second-worst. Anderson is also projected to finish with six earned runs, and we have Verlander giving up five.