It is win or go home on Tuesday for the Milwaukee Brewers (1-2) as they take on the Atlanta Braves (2-1) in Game 4 of the NLDS. The Braves will host this one at Truist Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 5:07 pm ET.
In a best of five series, the Atlanta Braves have won back-to-back games after dropping the first game to Milwaukee.
In Game 3, on Monday, the Braves were able to win 3-0 over Milwaukee. In the win, Ian Anderson threw five scoreless innings followed by four scoreless from the bullpen. Joc Pederson drove in the only runs with a three-run blast in the fifth.
The Brewers’ bats were stymied once again in this one as they managed just five hits and struck out nine times. Freddy Peralta went four scoreless innings before Adrian Houser gave up the home run in the fifth.
As of Monday night, the betting lines have not been posted for this matchup.
Part of the reason for the lack of betting lines is the fact that neither the Brewers nor the Braves had announced their starter for Tuesday’s game as of Monday evening.
Manager Craig Counsell said after the game it would not be Corbin Burnes, which means it could be Eric Lauer who gets the ball with the season on the line.
For the Braves, they would like to finish the series at home. They could turn to Charlie Morton on short rest or could opt for either Huascar Ynoa or A.J. Minter.
By The Numbers
The Braves are the stronger of the two teams offensively, as they have shown thus far. During the regular season, they ranked eighth in runs per game, averaging 4.87. The Brewers ranked 13th averaging 4.51.
Defensively, it was the Brewers with the slight edge. They ranked third in the majors in scoring defense, allowing 3.82 runs per game (3.42 on the road). The Braves ranked fifth, allowing 4.04 runs per game (4.40 at home).
Bats Need To Wake Up For Brew Crew
During the regular season, the Brewers averaged 4.51 runs per game, but in three games this series, they have only scored two total. While the Braves may have had the worst record coming into the playoffs, the Brewers’ offensive production still won’t get it done against Atlanta.
Through three games, there is only one player on the Brewers that has more than two hits, and that is shortstop Willy Adames, who has four.
Aside from Adames, the offense has been anemic. If Milwaukee hopes to survive to Game 5, they will need more out of their contributors from the regular season like Asivail Garcia (29 HR, 86 RBI), Luis Urias (23 HR, 75 RBI), and Kolton Wong (14 HR, 70 Runs).
Braves Try To Close The Series Out At Home
Even though the Braves were able to split the first two games on the road, they still know the importance of taking advantage of home-field advantage on Tuesday. If they don’t, though, they won’t panic as they actually had a better record during the regular season on the road (46-35) than at home (42-38).
Joc Pederson came up big again for Atlanta on Monday as his home run was the difference-maker. This postseason, he is three for three with two home runs and four runs batted in.
His home run also took Adam Duvall off the hook. In the first inning, Duvall made a baserunning gaffe as he tried to tag up and reach second and was thrown out prior to the runner on third scoring.
In a series where only nine runs have been scored total in three games, every run counts.
One other player who has had a nice series thus far is third baseman Austin Riley. He is hitting .333 in 12 at-bats with a solo home run.
Taking Atlanta To Close It Out
Sometimes the postseason is all about momentum, and at this point, that definitely favors the Braves.
Granted, if the Brewers can force a Game 5, they will be in good shape with Corbin Burnes available on full rest, but they have to take care of Tuesday’s game first.
With the offense completely out of whack, that might be easier said than done.
Obviously, make sure to check in on the pitching matchups, but as of now, Game 4 is the Braves to lose.