New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Betting Pick – September 30, 2024
Both the Mets and Braves will be looking to move into first place in the NL East, as they are currently tied with a record of 88-72. However, the Braves are favored on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -157, while the Mets are at +133. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and today’s game is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta.
First pitch for Monday’s matchup is set for 1:10 PM ET, and SNY will be carrying the game on TV. Tylor Megill is starting for the Mets, while the Braves are sending Spencer Schwellenbach to the mound.
Megill Takes the Mound Against Braves
The Mets are six games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they are 88-72 overall this season. New York is 29-21 against other teams in the NL East. They are on the road today, where they are 42-37 this year compared to 46-35 at home. The Mets have been good as the favorite this year, going 59-39, and they are 29-33 as the underdog. They are also 27-18-8 in series this year. Their over/under record is 80-75, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s over/under line for the Mets’ game vs. the Braves is set at 7.5 runs.
New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today, and he is 4-5 with a 3.98 ERA. He has made 14 starts this year and is 2-2 on the road. The Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season, which is 7th in the league. They are 5th in home runs with 205. Jose Iglesias is on a 20-game hitting streak and is hitting .429 over his last seven games. The Mets’ combined run average is 9.0 runs per game. Megill most recently faced the Phillies and went four innings, giving up one earned run. Before that, he had gone six innings in back-to-back starts.
Schwellenbach Takes the Mound Against Mets
The Braves are 88-72 overall and trail the Phillies by six games in the NL East. They are 3rd in the division and have gone 27-23 against other NL East teams. Today, they will host the Mets, who are also six games behind the Phillies. Atlanta is 45-34 at home and 43-38 on the road. Their over/under record is 58-96, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs. The Braves have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 29-16-7.
Spencer Schwellenbach will start for the Braves, and he has won three straight starts. In his most recent outing, he went seven innings and gave up one earned run. This season, he is 8-7 with a 3.47 ERA and has made 20 starts. The Braves offense is 15th in scoring, at 4.3 runs per game, and their 211 homers are 4th. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .304 with 39 homers and 102 RBI. The Braves are 13-22 when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs.
Mets Money Line Magic
We really like the Mets on the money line in this one, as they come in with a +133 payout. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Mets, giving you a few different ways you could play this one.
Another option would be to take the over/under, and if we had to pick, we would go with the over, as we see this one finishing with 11 total runs, and with the line sitting at 7.5, there is some good value on the over.