Sports Betting Picks

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers Betting Pick

Thursday’s forecast in Detroit calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 1:10 PM ET. RSNW will be televising this AL matchup, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-155).

Seattle comes in with a record of 63-58, while the Tigers are 58-63 overall. Detroit is currently on a three-game winning streak, and they are 4th in the AL Central. The Mariners are 2nd in the AL West. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and Thursday’s starting pitching matchup is Bryce Miller for the Mariners and Alex Faedo for the Tigers.

Mariners Look to Snap Losing Streak and Avoid Series Loss with Bryce Miller on the Mound

The Mariners are 63-58 overall and 2nd in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 2.5 games. Seattle has lost two straight games and are 19-13 in AL West matchups. Seattle is 44-36 as the favorite this season and 19-22 as the underdog. They are 26-32 on the road and 37-26 at home. Seattle’s overall series record is 17-19-2, and they will try to avoid losing the series to the Tigers today.

Seattle is sending Bryce Miller to the mound today, and he is 9-7 with a 3.46 ERA this season. His WHIP is 1.03, and he has 12 quality starts. Miller has an ERA of 2.39 at home compared to 5.83 on the road. The Mariners’ offense is 27th in scoring, at 4 runs per game, and 20th in batting average. They have been patient at the plate, ranking 5th in walks. Cal Raleigh has 26 home runs and 76 RBIs, and he has 3 home runs in his last 7 games. Randy Arozarena has 16 home runs this season and is hitting .222. Julio Rodríguez is hitting .263 with 11 home runs.

Tigers Look to Break Home Series Slump as Underdogs Against AL Central Rivals

Detroit is 58-63 overall and 4th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 14 games. The Tigers are 20-22 against other teams in the AL Central. As the underdog, they are 35-42 this season, and they are 23-21 when favored. Detroit has won two straight as the underdog, and their overall series record is 15-18-5. The Tigers have dropped three straight series at home. Their over/under record is 64-54, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average. 41 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs.

The Tigers are 28-31 at home this season and 30-32 on the road. They are 63-58 against the run line. Alex Faedo is 5-3 with a 3.62 ERA this season. He has made 35 appearances and four starts. Faedo is coming off a short outing in which he went just one inning out of the bullpen. Offensively, the Tigers are 20th in scoring, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Riley Greene is hitting .264 with 17 home runs, and Matt Vierling is hitting .258 with 14 home runs and 46 RBI. Vierling is on a 3-game hitting streak and is hitting .381 over his last five games.

Tigers Offer Value at +130: Projected 6-5 Win Over Mariners and Key Player Props

With the Tigers at +130 on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to grab some value. They are projected to pick up a 6-5 win over the Mariners, and with the payout, we see this as a much better option than taking the Mariners at -155.

Looking at some potential player props, a couple of options are to look at the starting pitcher’s strikeout totals. We have Alex Faedo finishing with six strikeouts, which is the second-best projection among starters today. As for Bryce Miller, he is projected to finish with five, which is the fourth lowest.

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