Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Betting Pick – Sep 23, 2024

At 8:10 PM ET, the Mariners and Astros square off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and has the Astros as the heavy favorite on the money line (-153). The Mariners are +130 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Monday’s starting pitching matchup features Bryce Miller for the Mariners and Hunter Brown for the Astros. Seattle is currently 2nd in the AL West with an overall record of 80-76, while the Astros are 1st in the division at 85-71.
Mariners Chase AL West with Miller on the Mound and RodrÃguez on Fire
The Seattle Mariners are 80-76 overall and trail the Astros by five games in the AL West. They are 27-19 in divisional games and are 34-44 as the away team. The Mariners are 58-48 as the favorite and 22-28 as the underdog. Their over/under record for the season is 74-73, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, below their season average of 8 runs per game. The over has hit in three straight games for the Mariners. They are 67-89 against the run line this season.
Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today, and he is 11-8 with a 3.06 ERA this season. He has a WHIP of .99 and opponents are hitting .199 off him. Miller has 17 quality starts in 30 outings and is averaging 8.62 strikeouts per nine innings. The Mariners are 22nd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game and are 12th on the road at 4.5 runs per game. Their overall run average is 7.9 runs per game. Julio RodrÃguez has hit .272 with 19 home runs and 63 RBIs this season and is hitting .433 with 3 home runs and 9 RBIs in his last six games.
Astros Host Mariners with Hunter Brown on the Mound: Can Houston Extend Their Over Streak?
The Astros are hosting the Mariners today and are 85-71 overall and 28-21 against the AL West. Houston is 45-33 at home and 40-38 on the road. They are 66-50 as the favorite and 19-21 as the underdog. Houston is 42-28 as the home favorite. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and the Astros have an over/under record of 64-87. Their average over/under line for the season is 8.7 runs, and they are 10-18 when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Currently, 78.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and they have gone over the total in three straight games.
On the mound for the Astros today is Hunter Brown, who is 11-8 with a 3.57 ERA. He has a WHIP of 1.28 and is holding opponents to a .235 batting average. Brown has 18 quality starts in his 29 outings. The Astros are 81-75 against the run line, and Brown is 43-35 on the road compared to 38-40 at home. Offensively, the Astros are 10th in scoring with 4.6 runs per game and are 4th in scoring at home with 5.0 runs per game. Yordan Alvarez leads the team in batting average (.308), on-base percentage (.392), home runs (35), and RBI (86). Jose Altuve is hitting .295 with 20 homers and 65 RBI.
Betting on Astros Victory: Predicting a 6-5 Win Over Mariners
There are a few ways you could look to bet on this Mariners vs. Astros matchup, but we are recommending you stick with a straight-up Astros win. The payout for an Astros win is -153, and with our predicted final score being 6-5 in favor of the Astros, we like this payout.
Looking at some potential player props, Hunter Brown is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for the Mariners’ Bryce Miller, he is predicted to finish with four strikeouts, which is the second-lowest.