Saturday afternoon features a battle of NFC West versus AFC West as the Seattle Seahawks (7-7) take on the Kansas City Chiefs (11-3). The Chiefs will host this one at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 1:00 pm ET.
The Seahawks limp into this one having lost two in a row. Last week, they were taken down by the San Francisco 49ers, 21-13. In the loss, Geno Smith threw for 238 yards and a touchdown, but the offense couldn’t get much else going. Kenneth Walker III led the ground game, rushing 12 times for 47 yards.
After a 30-24 win over the Houston Texans last week, the Chiefs have now won two in a row. In the overtime victory, Patrick Mahomes threw for 336 yards and two scores. Jerick McKinnon had an excellent game, scoring a rushing and a receiving touchdown to go along with 122 all-purpose yards.
The Chiefs are heavy favorites in this one playing at home. They are -480 to win, while the Seahawks’ moneyline sits at +370. The spread features Seattle +10 (-110), and the over/under for total points is 48.5.
Seahawks Trying To Keep Playoff Hopes Alive
If the season ended today, the Seattle Seahawks would be on the outside looking in of the playoffs. Still, they sit just a half-game back of the Washington Commanders, and they have a real shot to sneak in if they can finish the season strong.
That will be easier said than done on Saturday going against an elite offense like the Chiefs. It also doesn’t help that the Seahawks’ defense has struggled, allowing 25.4 points per game to opponents, good for 29th in the NFL. On the road, that number inflates to 28.4.
On offense, Seattle ranks seventh overall, averaging 25.4 points per game. Their solid offensive numbers have been in part due to a solid season from quarterback Geno Smith. This season, he has thrown for 3,671 yards, 26 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. He has also rushed for 281 yards and another score.
Smith’s favorite targets have been wide receivers Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf. For Lockett, he has 78 receptions for 964 yards and eight touchdowns. Metcalf has 79 receptions for 924 yards and six scores.
Unfortunately for Lockett, he suffered a broken bone in his hand last week and will be out for this game.
Chiefs Look To Stay Solid At Home
While the Chiefs are a shoo-in for the playoffs, they are still competing for the top overall spot in the AFC. Currently, they sit in the second seed, right behind the Bills, who also are 11-3. Given that only the top seed gets a bye in the playoffs, this is something head coach Andy Reid will definitely play for.
It doesn’t hurt that Kansas City is playing this one at Arrowhead Stadium. This season, they are 5-1 when playing as the home team.
Offensively, the team’s top-ranked offense (averaging 29.6 points) is led by Patrick Mahomes. This season, Mahomes has thrown for 4,496 yards, 35 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. He also has 313 yards rushing and three touchdowns.
As always, Mahomes’ favorite target is tight-end Travis Kelce. In 14 games, he has 91 receptions for 1,144 yards and 12 touchdowns.
Defensively, the Chiefs rank 19th in scoring defense, allowing 23 points per game (20.2 at home).
Take Kansas City To Win And Cover
Looking at the trends, Kansas City has not been a great bet when it comes to covering the spread. In fact, they are just 5-9 on the season and 3-7 in their last 10.
Still, there are several factors working in Kansas City’s favor here. First, the Seahawks’ defense has really struggled, and the Chiefs have certainly shown they can put points up in a hurry, especially at home.
Furthermore, with Lockett out, the Seahawks’ lose one of their best weapons. Even though Seattle ranks in the top 10 in offense, they have scuffled a bit as of late, averaging just 21.3 in their last three games.
Also, after almost being embarrassed by the Texans last week, expect the Chiefs to come out faster and stronger in this one.
Overall, take Kansas City to not only win this one but cover the 10-point spread (-110) as well.