From Citi Field in New York, the Nationals and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. First pitch for Tuesday’s matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET. SNY will be televising this one, and the Mets are the heavy favorites on the money line at -163.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Nationals will be looking to pull off the upset on the money line (+139). Tylor Megill will be going for the Mets, while the Nationals are starting Mitchell Parker. Washington is 4th in the NL East, while the Mets are 2nd.
Nationals Eye Third Place in NL East with Strong Finish to Season
The Nationals are 68-82 overall and 4th in the NL East, 22 games behind the Phillies. They are 23-24 in divisional play and are 36-39 at home and 32-43 on the road. Washington is 53-69 as the underdog and 15-13 when favored. They are 19-22-6 in series play and have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games. Tonight, they are two games behind the Mets for 3rd in the NL East and are sending Mitchell Parker to the mound, who is 7-9 with a 4.24 ERA this season.
The Nationals are 84-66 on the run line this season and are 71-51 as the underdog. They are 40-35 at home and 44-31 on the road. Washington’s over/under record is 70-74, and the over has hit in 16 of 26 games when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Washington is 22nd in scoring this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Luis García Jr. and CJ Abrams have been the Nationals’ top hitters this season. In terms of recent performances, James Wood and José Tena have been swinging the bat well for Washington.
Mets Look to Close Gap in NL East with Megill on the Mound and Offense Firing
The Mets are 82-68 overall and trail the Phillies by eight games in the NL East. They have a 24-19 record against other NL East teams. New York has the same record at home and on the road, at 41-34. They are 54-37 as the favorite and 28-31 as the underdog. The Mets are favored today and have won two straight as the favorite. Their run line record is 75-75, and they are 42-33 on the road compared to 33-42 at home. Their average run differential is +0.4 runs per game, but that number jumps to +3.6 in their wins and drops to -3.4 in their losses.
Today, the Mets are sending Tylor Megill to the mound, and he is 3-5 with a 4.48 ERA. He has a WHIP of 1.32 and has made two quality starts this year. Megill is averaging 10.54 strikeouts per nine innings. The Mets offense is 9th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game, and they are 5th in homers with 189. Their team batting average is .247, which is 10th in the majors. Jose Iglesias is on a 10-game hitting streak, while Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are on 4-game hitting streaks.
Mets vs. Nationals: Bet the Over 7.5 Runs in Predicted 5-4 Mets Victory
Our prediction for the Mets vs. Nationals game is to take the over at 7.5 runs. We see the Mets coming out on top with a final score of 5-4. However, with the Mets at -163 on the money line, the payout isn’t high enough to justify taking them to win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Tylor Megill finishing with six strikeouts compared to Mitchell Parker with six as well. Offensively, our projections have the Mets finishing with eight hits and the Nationals with eight.
